Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.034042 0.037250 0.040500 0.044034 0.047761 0.051568 0.055746
2025-09-07 0.029589 0.034358 0.039368 0.044998 0.051123 0.057562 0.064817
2025-09-14 0.025990 0.031857 0.038220 0.045578 0.053794 0.062630 0.072801
2025-09-21 0.022938 0.029579 0.036999 0.045798 0.055847 0.066869 0.079777
2025-09-28 0.021110 0.028463 0.036893 0.047107 0.058988 0.072226 0.087943
2025-10-05 0.018531 0.026211 0.035257 0.046462 0.059741 0.074766 0.092848
2025-10-12 0.016695 0.024686 0.034333 0.046519 0.061195 0.078024 0.098505
2025-10-19 0.015388 0.023698 0.033958 0.047142 0.063246 0.081923 0.104870
2025-10-26 0.014373 0.022993 0.033857 0.048037 0.065575 0.086118 0.111568
2025-11-02 0.012349 0.020796 0.031736 0.046308 0.064621 0.086341 0.113527
2025-11-09 0.011091 0.019537 0.030736 0.045911 0.065235 0.088388 0.117610
2025-11-16 0.009945 0.018343 0.029745 0.045458 0.065723 0.090243 0.121434
2025-11-23 0.009487 0.018134 0.030089 0.046772 0.068493 0.094962 0.128825
2025-11-30 0.008934 0.017744 0.030159 0.047714 0.070792 0.099121 0.135572
2025-12-07 0.008309 0.017193 0.029971 0.048287 0.072607 0.102683 0.141608
2025-12-14 0.007628 0.016501 0.029541 0.048502 0.073938 0.105632 0.146895
2025-12-21 0.007335 0.016405 0.029951 0.049854 0.076751 0.110447 0.154503
2025-12-28 0.006509 0.015362 0.028926 0.049181 0.076870 0.111846 0.157867
2026-01-04 0.005947 0.014715 0.028448 0.049239 0.077932 0.114426 0.162695
2026-01-11 0.005576 0.014369 0.028399 0.049884 0.079769 0.117990 0.168757
2026-01-18 0.005298 0.014166 0.028555 0.050812 0.081984 0.122043 0.175448
2026-01-25 0.004448 0.012820 0.026863 0.049019 0.080460 0.121240 0.175985
2026-02-01 0.003963 0.012115 0.026145 0.048607 0.080796 0.122827 0.179536